Coinkoink

Search for this storm today and you will find maps with a confident red line running straight into somebody's coastline. Ignore them. Five days out from a recurving western Pacific typhoon, the honest position is that the destination is unsettled. Japan is on the table. So is Korea. So is a stretch of Chinese coastline a thousand kilometres to the southwest. Understanding why that gap exists is worth more to a traveller than any single arrow. Satellite frames a few hours apart, showing a cyclone's inner core reorganising. Library image for illustration. It is not live satellite imagery of the storm discussed here — for current imagery use the agency links below. The part everyone agrees on Through roughly the second of August, the guidance is tight. Dolphin drifts west-northwest around 20 km/h, stays at the top of the intensity scale, and never comes near a coastline. After that the steering pattern shifts. The storm is expected to swing more due west and accelerate to...

Last updated: July 31, 2026 Super Typhoon Dolphin has reached Category 5 strength over the northwestern Pacific and is now the fifth Category 5 tropical cyclone on the planet this year. Forecast models bring it toward East Asia through the first week of August, with landfall possibilities that currently stretch from eastern China to Japan and South Korea. Here is where the storm is, where it is going, and what the spread in the models actually means if you have travel booked in the region. A mature tropical cyclone with a well-defined eye, seen from orbit. Library image for illustration. It is not live satellite imagery of the storm discussed here — for current imagery use the agency links below. Where Dolphin is right now At midday on July 31, the center of Dolphin was near 18.3°N, 161.9°E — more than 4,200 kilometers east of Luzon in the Philippines. That is still deep ocean, far from any landmass. Maximum sustained winds near the center have exceeded Force ...