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Super Typhoon Dolphin Tracker: Category 5 Storm Turns Toward China, Japan and Korea in Forecast Cone

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Last updated: July 31, 2026 Super Typhoon Dolphin has reached Category 5 strength over the northwestern Pacific and is now the fifth Category 5 tropical cyclone on the planet this year. Forecast models bring it toward East Asia through the first week of August, with landfall possibilities that currently stretch from eastern China to Japan and South Korea. Here is where the storm is, where it is going, and what the spread in the models actually means if you have travel booked in the region. A mature tropical cyclone with a well-defined eye, seen from orbit. Library image for illustration. It is not live satellite imagery of the storm discussed here — for current imagery use the agency links below. Where Dolphin is right now At midday on July 31, the center of Dolphin was near 18.3°N, 161.9°E — more than 4,200 kilometers east of Luzon in the Philippines. That is still deep ocean, far from any landmass. Maximum sustained winds near the center have exceeded Force ...
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No, Thailand's Flooding Is Not From Typhoon Dolphin — and the Difference Matters

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Thailand spent the last week under heavy rain warnings. A super typhoon is sitting in the Pacific. The two stories ran side by side in the same news cycles, and a lot of people connected them. They are not connected. The Thai Meteorological Department has been explicit: Dolphin is not expected to affect Thailand directly. A tropical system over Southeast Asian waters. Library image for illustration. It is not live satellite imagery of the storm discussed here — for current imagery use the agency links below. What is actually causing it Two things, both ordinary for the season. A monsoon trough is lying across the upper North and Northeast. And a rather strong southwesterly monsoon is running over the Andaman Sea, Thailand and the Gulf of Thailand. That combination produces exactly what is being observed — heavy to very heavy rain across the North, Northeast, Central region, the East, and down the South's west coast. TMD has warned about flash floods, run-off, landslide...
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Five Category 5 Storms Before August: What 2026 Is Doing Differently

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Super Typhoon Dolphin reached Category 5 this week. It was the fifth tropical cyclone on Earth to do so in 2026, and July is not over. Five is a lot for this point in the year. It is not a record, and it does not mean the planet has entered some new regime. But it is worth pausing on, because the reason it happened is not the one most people assume. A Saharan dust plume blowing west off Africa over the tropical Atlantic. Library image for illustration. It is not live satellite imagery of the storm discussed here — for current imagery use the agency links below. The count so far Genevieve got there first, in the eastern Pacific. It peaked at 160 mph sustained winds west of Mexico — the season's first Category 5 anywhere — and then spent its entire life over open water. Nobody on land noticed. Dolphin is the fifth, and the only one currently aimed at people. It formed in the western Pacific, ran up the scale fast, and is now expected to turn toward the Chinese coast i...
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